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The edition · Emergency & Critical Care

Capillary refill as a resuscitation target: seven trials, and a result that depends on which statistics you read

Pooled across 2,408 patients in septic shock, peripheral perfusion-guided resuscitation gave a mortality risk ratio of 0.87 (95% CI 0.76-1.01) - not significant frequentist, 97.2% posterior probability of benefit Bayesian. Same data, two honest answers.

The edition in brief

Four findings and a pearl for the emergency and critical care desk. An individual patient data meta-analysis of six prospective prehospital studies covering 5,239 patients found HEART-derived risk scores incorporating point-of-care troponin identified low-risk suspected NSTE-ACS with 93.2% sensitivity and 99.8% negative predictive value for 30-day mortality, and 92.8% sensitivity for major adverse cardiac events - performance that held in well-organised services with reliable follow-up for patients not conveyed. A meta-analysis of 19 studies, nine pooled, found admission hypoalbuminaemia in burns associated with in-hospital mortality at an odds ratio of 9.51 (95% CI 3.04 to 29.78) and acute kidney injury at 2.83 (2.49 to 3.22), with no established cut-off value yet. A secondary analysis of the WEAN SAFE cohort described what happens to the 664 of 4,394 patients (15.1%) who enter weaning and fail it by day 90: ICU mortality of 78% against 2% in those who wean, and three distinct phenotypes separated by the number of separation attempts and the timing of decisions to withhold or withdraw life-sustaining therapy - with a failed first attempt strongly linked to those decisions. The practice-changer is a dual frequentist-Bayesian meta-analysis of seven trials in septic shock: peripheral perfusion-guided resuscitation gave a 28-day mortality risk ratio of 0.87 (0.76 to 1.01, p=0.06, moderate certainty, no heterogeneity) with a 97.2% Bayesian posterior probability of benefit, while the two largest and least biased trials were individually null. Plus a pearl on measuring capillary refill so the number means something.

In this edition
01
Clinical update

Prehospital HEART scoring with point-of-care troponin: the number to check is sensitivity, not NPV

A HEART-derived prehospital score is safe enough to leave low-risk chest pain at home only where follow-up for non-conveyed patients actually exists - and its adoption raises the risk profile of everyone who is conveyed.

2 min · Heart (British Cardiac Society)Read →
Primary outcome
sensitivity and negative predictive value of low-risk classification at 30 days
Effect
mortality sensitivity 93.2% (83.5-98.1), NPV 99.8% (99.5-99.9); MACE sensitivity 92.8% (88.7-95.5), NPV 97.2% (92.1-99.0)
02Clinical update

Admission albumin in burns tracks mortality and acute kidney injury

Use a low admission albumin in a burn patient as a trigger to escalate monitoring and consider transfer - not as an indication to give albumin.

2 min · Journal of burn care & research : official publication of the American Burn AssociationRead →
03Research

Three phenotypes of weaning failure, and a first failed attempt that predicts the decision to stop

Record why a separation attempt failed, not just that it did - a failed first attempt was strongly linked to the decision to withdraw, and this cohort cannot tell you which came first.

2 min · Intensive care medicineRead →
04Pearl

Measure capillary refill the same way every time, or the trend means nothing

Standardise site, pressure duration and timing, and record them - capillary refill is only a resuscitation target if the series is comparable.

2 minRead →
05Practice changer

Perfusion-guided resuscitation in septic shock: a 13% mortality reduction the frequentist analysis will not call significant

Include a standardised capillary refill time in septic shock resuscitation and let it inform when to stop escalating fluids - the mortality signal is real in direction and uncertain in size.

3 min · Critical care medicineRead →

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