The edition · Geriatrics
Disease keeps accumulating at 95, and the frailty index does not care which deficits you count
Swedish register data follow a whole birth cohort from 70 to 100; a machine-learning test confirms that frailty index items are genuinely interchangeable; vitamin D tracks with longer measured sleep; and an Aboriginal co-designed falls programme improves mobility where a social programme does not.
The edition in brief
Nationwide Swedish register data followed everyone born in 1920-1922 who reached 70. Multimorbidity accumulated fastest up to age 80, plateaued between 80 and 90, and slowed after that without ever reversing: mean disease count at 90 was 3.9 in men and 3.5 in women, and more than half of those aged 95 and over carried five or more diseases. Most accumulation happened in non-terminal years rather than in a final decline, with cardiovascular disease the dominant contributor throughout and musculoskeletal and neurosensorial disease growing in importance with age. In 3,669 adults with cardiovascular disease from a national survey, random survival forest and Cox models tested whether the frailty index's assumption that deficits are interchangeable holds: 200 randomly built indices converged with importance-ranked ones by about 35 items for all-cause mortality and 20 for cardiovascular mortality, while keeping all 46 items as separate predictors outperformed any composite (C-index 0.71 against 0.64-0.67). Among 460 participants aged 40 and over with actigraphy, higher serum vitamin D was associated with 23.6 more minutes of total sleep (95% CI 9.6-37.6) and shorter wake bouts, with deficiency associated with 23 minutes less sleep; B12 associations ran in opposite directions in men and women. A cluster randomised trial across 77 care communities and 434 staff found a six-month dementia care coaching programme improved employee satisfaction and person-centred workplace practices but not caregiver-resident relationships or dementia care confidence. And a controlled pre-post study of an Aboriginal co-designed falls programme improved functional mobility by 0.8 points on the Short Physical Performance Battery (95% CI 0.4-1.1), without changing fall rates.
Multimorbidity kept accumulating into the late nineties, and mostly not at the end of life
Plan care for the oldest patients around function and consolidation rather than organ-by-organ control - disease keeps accumulating into the late nineties, and mostly outside the final years of life.
The frailty index's central assumption held up when it was tested properly
Build your frailty index from whatever deficits your records hold, provided you count around 30 or more - which items you use makes little difference, and short machine-learned indices do not generalise.
Vitamin D tracked with measured sleep, and B12 ran in opposite directions in men and women
There is no case here for prescribing vitamin D to improve sleep - but in an older person sleeping badly, ask how much time they spend outdoors, which plausibly explains both.
Coaching care home staff improved how they felt about the job, and not how they felt about the residents
Coaching improved how care home staff experience their workplace but not their confidence or their relationships with residents - pair it with skills training, and measure something residents experience.
Count the deficits you already have
Build a frailty index from the thirty-odd deficits already in your notes and use the same set every visit - the specific items do not matter, and the change between visits is what you are watching.
A falls programme designed by the community it served improved mobility; a social programme did not
Build falls prevention into organisations older people already attend and co-design it with them - the exercise programme improved functional mobility where a purely social one did not.
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