The edition · Infectious Diseases
The season's vaccine evidence lands, and sepsis algorithms look better on paper than in wards
Updated COVID-19 vaccines cut hospitalisation by about half across age groups; pooled sepsis prediction models discriminate well in their own datasets and nowhere else demonstrably; and RSV protection for older adults looks weaker in the second season.
The edition in brief
Two systematic reviews prepared for the 2026-2027 respiratory season summarise the evidence on COVID-19 and RSV immunisation. For COVID-19, 155 publications were eligible. Updated vaccines were associated with reduced hospitalisation in adults aged 65 and over (vaccine effectiveness 53.0%, 95% CI 37.0 to 65.0) and in those aged 18 to 64 (54.0%, 1.0 to 78.0). Maternal vaccination reduced COVID-19 emergency attendances in the vaccinated person (58.0%) and hospital contacts in infants in the first two months of life (50 to 54%), regardless of trimester. Paediatric emergency visits fell in children aged 9 months to 4 years (76.0%). No new safety signals were found. The RSV review covered 75 studies. Vaccination in older adults was associated with 83.3% effectiveness against RSV hospitalisation (95% CI 42.9 to 96.9), but one study found effectiveness significantly lower at 12 to 18 months than in the first season. Maternal vaccination at 32 to 36 weeks gave 51.0% to 70.0% against infant hospitalisation, and nirsevimab 63.6% to 93.0%. One self-controlled case series raised a possible Guillain-Barré signal in older adults; three randomised trials found none. A meta-analysis of 34 machine-learning sepsis prediction studies found a pooled AUROC of 0.913 but a 95% prediction interval of 0.660 to 0.983, with heavy reuse of the same public datasets. In Ethiopia, pooled good adherence to antiretroviral therapy was 79.4% and was strongly associated with viral suppression (odds ratio 6.30). The FDA recorded a supplement to an Alembic generic itraconazole application.
COVID-19 vaccines still halve the risk of hospitalisation
Recommend the updated vaccine to older adults, pregnant patients, immunocompromised adults and young children, framing the benefit as avoided hospitalisation.
Sepsis prediction models discriminate well on their own data
Demand prospective local evaluation before an AI sepsis alert is allowed to change who gets reviewed.
Adherence remains the modifiable step between therapy and suppression
Treat an unsuppressed viral load as an adherence problem until adherence has been properly assessed.
A supplement lands on a generic itraconazole application
Nothing to change — an administrative supplement on a generic itraconazole application, relevant to supply rather than to prescribing.
Write the stop date at the same time as the antibiotic
Every antibiotic prescription gets an indication and a stop date written at the moment it is started.
RSV protection in older adults looks weaker in the second season
Check when an older adult was last vaccinated against RSV rather than treating a previous dose as durable cover.
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