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The edition · Infectious Diseases

The season's vaccine evidence lands, and sepsis algorithms look better on paper than in wards

Updated COVID-19 vaccines cut hospitalisation by about half across age groups; pooled sepsis prediction models discriminate well in their own datasets and nowhere else demonstrably; and RSV protection for older adults looks weaker in the second season.

The edition in brief

Two systematic reviews prepared for the 2026-2027 respiratory season summarise the evidence on COVID-19 and RSV immunisation. For COVID-19, 155 publications were eligible. Updated vaccines were associated with reduced hospitalisation in adults aged 65 and over (vaccine effectiveness 53.0%, 95% CI 37.0 to 65.0) and in those aged 18 to 64 (54.0%, 1.0 to 78.0). Maternal vaccination reduced COVID-19 emergency attendances in the vaccinated person (58.0%) and hospital contacts in infants in the first two months of life (50 to 54%), regardless of trimester. Paediatric emergency visits fell in children aged 9 months to 4 years (76.0%). No new safety signals were found. The RSV review covered 75 studies. Vaccination in older adults was associated with 83.3% effectiveness against RSV hospitalisation (95% CI 42.9 to 96.9), but one study found effectiveness significantly lower at 12 to 18 months than in the first season. Maternal vaccination at 32 to 36 weeks gave 51.0% to 70.0% against infant hospitalisation, and nirsevimab 63.6% to 93.0%. One self-controlled case series raised a possible Guillain-Barré signal in older adults; three randomised trials found none. A meta-analysis of 34 machine-learning sepsis prediction studies found a pooled AUROC of 0.913 but a 95% prediction interval of 0.660 to 0.983, with heavy reuse of the same public datasets. In Ethiopia, pooled good adherence to antiretroviral therapy was 79.4% and was strongly associated with viral suppression (odds ratio 6.30). The FDA recorded a supplement to an Alembic generic itraconazole application.

In this edition
01
Clinical update

COVID-19 vaccines still halve the risk of hospitalisation

Recommend the updated vaccine to older adults, pregnant patients, immunocompromised adults and young children, framing the benefit as avoided hospitalisation.

2 min · JAMARead →
Primary outcome
vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 hospitalisation and severe outcomes, and safety
Effect
hospitalisation VE 53.0% (95% CI 37.0–65.0) in ≥65s and 54.0% (1.0–78.0) in 18–64s; paediatric ED visits 76.0% (58.0–87.0)
02Research

Sepsis prediction models discriminate well on their own data

Demand prospective local evaluation before an AI sepsis alert is allowed to change who gets reviewed.

2 min · Journal of medical Internet researchRead →
03Research

Adherence remains the modifiable step between therapy and suppression

Treat an unsuppressed viral load as an adherence problem until adherence has been properly assessed.

2 min · PloS oneRead →
04Regulatory

A supplement lands on a generic itraconazole application

Nothing to change — an administrative supplement on a generic itraconazole application, relevant to supply rather than to prescribing.

1 minRead →
05Pearl

Write the stop date at the same time as the antibiotic

Every antibiotic prescription gets an indication and a stop date written at the moment it is started.

1 minRead →
06
Practice changer

RSV protection in older adults looks weaker in the second season

Check when an older adult was last vaccinated against RSV rather than treating a previous dose as durable cover.

2 min · JAMARead →
Primary outcome
effectiveness against RSV-related hospitalisation and laboratory-confirmed illness, and safety
Effect
older adults VE 83.3% (95% CI 42.9–96.9); maternal 51.0–70.0%; nirsevimab 63.6–93.0% against hospitalisation

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