The edition · Infectious Diseases
Updated COVID-19 vaccines still roughly halve hospitalisation, with no new safety signal
A year of new evidence reviewed ahead of the 2026–27 season holds COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness near 53% against hospitalisation in older adults; RSV immunisation protects well but may wane in older adults; and AI sepsis-prediction models look better on paper than they have yet been shown to be at the bedside.
The edition in brief
A systematic review of 155 studies published between August 2025 and June 2026 found updated COVID-19 vaccines associated with 53% lower risk of hospitalisation in adults 65 and over in the 2025–26 season, 58% fewer emergency visits after maternal vaccination, 50–54% fewer infant hospital contacts in the first two months of life, and 76% fewer paediatric emergency visits in children aged 9 months to 4 years. No new safety signals were found, including for myocarditis under extended dosing intervals. A companion review of 75 RSV studies found vaccination in older adults associated with 83% lower RSV hospitalisation, with some evidence that protection is lower in the second season; nirsevimab effectiveness in infants ranged from 64% to 93%, and one case series raised a possible Guillain-Barré signal in the 42 days after vaccination. A meta-analysis of 34 machine-learning sepsis prediction studies reported a pooled AUROC of 0.91, but with a prediction interval down to 0.66, heavy reuse of the same public ICU datasets and little prospective testing. The FDA recorded a supplement to a generic itraconazole application; the record gives no clinical detail and it does not change prescribing.
COVID-19 vaccines for 2026–27: about 53% protection against hospitalisation in older adults
Offer the updated COVID-19 vaccine to older, immunocompromised and pregnant patients this season; protection against hospitalisation is about half and no new safety concerns have appeared.
AI sepsis prediction: high accuracy on retrospective data, uncertain in new hospitals
AI sepsis-prediction models discriminate well in the data they were built on, but their performance in a new hospital is uncertain until validated there.
FDA records a supplement to a generic itraconazole application
An FDA supplement to a generic itraconazole application is an administrative change and does not alter prescribing.
Itraconazole capsules and acid suppression do not mix
Before calling itraconazole a treatment failure, check whether the patient is on acid suppression and whether levels are adequate.
RSV immunisation cut hospitalisation by 83% in older adults, but protection may wane after one season
Offer RSV vaccination to older high-risk adults and cover every infant with maternal vaccination or nirsevimab — and do not assume protection lasts more than a season.
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