The edition · Internal Medicine
Comorbidity count changes what a hot day does to a patient
Heat risk that scales with how many conditions a patient carries, the fatty liver score that survives a decision-curve test, an ascitic threshold that does not transfer from cirrhosis, and what to do with the low-risk chest pain you have just discharged.
The edition in brief
A Japanese matched case-control study of 21,724 heatstroke cases and 65,172 controls found that heat risk scales with comorbidity burden. Taking 25C and no conditions as the reference, the odds ratio at a wet-bulb globe temperature of 33C was 2.04 (95% CI 1.84-2.25) in people with no conditions and 2.66 (2.40-2.94) in those with four. Individual conditions mattered little; the count did. Smoking, liver dysfunction and obesity stayed associated after adjusting for heat-sensitive medication. Across 853,131 US veterans with imaging-confirmed steatotic liver disease, 3.96% developed cirrhosis and 0.35% hepatocellular carcinoma within ten years. FIB-4, APRI and SAFE discriminated cirrhosis best, and SAFE gave the greatest net benefit on decision-curve analysis. No score was useful for deciding on hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in people without cirrhosis. A single-centre review of 337 paracenteses in malignant ascites found 19 positive cultures. The cirrhosis threshold of 250 polymorphonuclear cells/mm3 performed poorly here, at 73.7% sensitivity and 72.4% specificity; a count above 1318 cells/mm3 reached 93.0% specificity but the same sensitivity. An observational cohort of 1,835 patients with heart failure and an eGFR of 30 or below reported lower mortality with calcium channel blockers (weighted HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.73-0.99), a claim its design cannot support. The PACER trial randomised 375 adults discharged from emergency departments with low-risk chest pain and anxiety; peer-supported internet cognitive behavioural therapy improved anxiety 1.22 GAD-7 points more than a referral letter over twelve months, and 2.8 points more in those with severe anxiety.
Heat risk depends on how many conditions a patient has, not which ones
Judge a patient's heat vulnerability by the number of chronic conditions they carry, not by whether any single one is on a list.
One fatty liver score earns its place; none of them justify cancer surveillance
A fibrosis score can reasonably guide when to reassess a patient with fatty liver, but none of them supports cancer surveillance without cirrhosis.
The 250-cell rule does not transfer from cirrhotic to malignant ascites
In malignant ascites, read the polymorphonuclear count as one input rather than a diagnostic threshold, and let the clinical picture drive the decision to treat.
A calcium channel blocker signal in heart failure with advanced kidney disease, and why the title outruns it
Worth using to justify continuing a calcium channel blocker in heart failure with advanced kidney disease; not enough to start one.
Write down what would change your mind before you hand the patient over
Record one specific finding that would overturn your working diagnosis, and say it at handover.
After low-risk chest pain, a referral letter is not the treatment
Screen for anxiety before discharging low-risk chest pain, and offer something structured rather than a recommendation to see the general practitioner.
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