- Design
- Genetic association and Mendelian randomisation across two biobanks
- Population
- 430,049 UK Biobank and 283,609 All of Us participants
- Primary outcome
- Association of genetically mediated LDL cholesterol with venous thromboembolism
- Effect
- No consistent association; meta-analysed odds ratios 0.60 to 1.07 despite up to ~50% LDL differences
Whole-genome data from two biobanks (430,049 UK Biobank and 283,609 All of Us participants) were used to test whether genetically determined LDL cholesterol influences venous thromboembolism, a cleaner test of causation than observational lipid measurements.
Rare functional variants in LDLR, APOB and PCSK9 produced lifelong LDL cholesterol differences of up to about 50%, yet venous thromboembolism risk was not consistently associated (meta-analysed odds ratios 0.60 to 1.07). Complementary Mendelian randomisation suggested earlier LDL-venous thromboembolism links may reflect broader metabolic and obesity pathways rather than LDL itself.
For practice this is a boundary marker: LDL lowering remains firmly about arterial atherosclerotic risk, and these data argue against expecting a meaningful effect on venous clots. It does not change lipid targets or who should be on a statin.
- Genetically determined LDL cholesterol differences of up to about 50% did not consistently alter venous thromboembolism risk.
- Meta-analysed odds ratios spanned 0.60 to 1.07, straddling no effect.
- Earlier LDL-clot associations may reflect metabolic and obesity pathways, not LDL itself.
- Keep LDL lowering framed as arterial, not venous, risk reduction.
- This changes neither lipid targets nor statin indications.
Why it matters
It separates a genuine arterial benefit of lipid lowering from an assumed venous one.
The statistics, in plain English
Odds ratios whose confidence crosses 1.0 mean no reliable effect; a large genetic study finding no association is stronger evidence against causation than observational data suggesting one.
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