- Design
- Multicentre international cohort with derivation and external validation
- Population
- 1,101 patients with newly diagnosed transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy
- Primary outcome
- All-cause death and first heart failure admission
- Effect
- Composite grading: 21% severe vs ≈12–13% by guideline; HR 1.20 (1.07–1.36) death, 1.21 (1.05–1.38) heart failure admission
An eight-centre international cohort enrolled 1,101 patients with newly diagnosed transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy, with a derivation group of 722 and a validation group of 379. Echocardiograms were read blind in a core laboratory. Over a median of about 25 months, 28.5% died and 22.2% were admitted with heart failure.
Risk began to rise at a vena contracta of 3.0 mm, an effective regurgitant orifice area of 0.10 cm², a regurgitant volume of 15 mL or a regurgitant fraction of 20%. High risk began above an orifice area of 0.25 cm², a volume of 38 mL or a fraction of 35% — all well below standard cut-offs. The resulting composite scheme labelled 21% as severe, against about 12–13% with guideline definitions, and it alone stayed predictive after adjustment (HR 1.20 for death, 1.21 for heart failure admission).
The likely reason is the low-flow, restrictive physiology of amyloid, which shrinks regurgitant volumes. This is prognostic work, not a trial of intervention: it tells you who is at risk, not that treating the valve helps.
- Report quantitative mitral regurgitation measures in ATTR cardiomyopathy, not just a visual grade
- Treat moderate-looking regurgitation in amyloid as a marker of higher risk
- Use the finding to sharpen follow-up intensity and heart failure management
- Do not refer for transcatheter mitral repair on these thresholds alone; that question is untested
Why it matters
Standard grading may be under-calling a prognostically important lesion in a disease cardiologists now see far more often.
Don't overread it
These are prognostic thresholds from an observational cohort — they do not show that intervening on the valve improves outcomes.
The statistics, in plain English
A hazard ratio of 1.20 means about 20% higher risk of death at any given time for each step up the composite grade, after adjusting for other factors. Confirming the thresholds in a separate validation cohort makes it less likely they are a quirk of one dataset.
Read the rest in the app
You have read your two free briefings this month. The app carries all 27 specialties, every morning, free — and this finding is waiting in it.

Scan to keep reading on your phone. No account needed to start.
Tomorrow morning, before your first patient
One edition a day for cardiology, written by the desk, every claim tied to its paper. Six minutes.
Get the app — free