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Pearl · 05 of 05

Know your scale's minimum important difference before you read the p value

Before acting on a significant difference in a symptom score, compare the confidence interval to that scale's minimum important difference — a real difference can still be one no patient can feel.

Both analgesia trials today are large, well conducted, and report statistically significant differences that no patient would notice. That is not a flaw in either trial. It is what happens when a study is powered to detect a difference smaller than the one that matters.

The numerical rating scale for pain has a well-established minimum clinically important difference of about 1.3 points. Below that, patients cannot reliably tell two states apart. The ketamine trial found 0.72 points with a tight interval; the magnesium trial found every timed difference under the threshold. Both authorship teams said so explicitly, which is good practice and still routinely lost when a result is summarised.

The habit: before reading a p value on a symptom scale, find the minimum important difference for that scale, and compare the confidence interval to it. If the whole interval sits below that threshold, the trial has shown a real difference that does not matter — a useful and quite different finding from no difference at all.

  • Pain NRS: about 1.3 points is the smallest difference patients detect
  • Compare the whole confidence interval to that threshold, not just the point estimate
  • An entire interval below the threshold means real but imperceptible
  • Large trials detect differences far below the ones worth acting on
  • Check whether a binary success outcome is a threshold applied to the same scale

The statistics, in plain English

Statistical significance answers whether a difference is likely to be real; the minimum clinically important difference answers whether it is worth having. A large trial separates these completely, because power rises with sample size while the threshold of perception does not move. Reporting both, as both trials here did, is what lets a reader tell them apart.

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