- Design
- prospective, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial in two university-affiliated intensive care units, 2022-2024
- Population
- 120 mechanically ventilated adults receiving an opioid infusion for analgosedation, cardiac surgical patients excluded (59 ketamine, 61 placebo)
- Primary outcome
- hourly opioid dose in fentanyl equivalents
- Effect
- 64 micrograms/hr (IQR 36-89) versus 77 (47-100); median difference -13.0 (95% credible interval -26.6 to 2.4), probability of benefit 95.1%; no difference in delirium or ventilator-free days
Opioid infusions dominate analgosedation in ventilated patients, and ketamine has been used as an adjunct for years on physiological reasoning rather than trial evidence. This double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in two university-affiliated Melbourne intensive care units randomised adults on mechanical ventilation and an opioid infusion, excluding cardiac surgical patients, to ketamine 0.15 mg/kg/hr or placebo for the duration of ventilation.
Of 538 screened, 413 were ineligible, leaving 120 patients analysed — 59 on ketamine and 61 on placebo. Median hourly opioid dose in fentanyl equivalents was 64 micrograms per hour (IQR 36-89) with ketamine and 77 (47-100) with placebo, a median difference of -13.0 with a 95% credible interval from -26.6 to 2.4 and a 95.1% probability of benefit. Delirium, ventilator-free days, intensive care and hospital-free days and serious adverse events showed no differences.
The honest summary is a small trial that supports what many units already do, without proving it matters to a patient. A 13 microgram per hour reduction is real but modest, the credible interval crosses zero, and no downstream outcome moved. Its most valuable contribution may be the absence of a safety signal: no excess delirium, which is the objection usually raised against ketamine in this setting. That is enough to make low-dose ketamine a defensible adjunct where opioid requirement is escalating, and not enough to make it routine.
- Consider low-dose ketamine where opioid requirement is climbing, not as first-line sedation
- 0.15 mg/kg/hr is the dose tested — much lower than procedural dosing
- No excess delirium was seen, which is the objection most often raised
- The screening ratio matters: 413 of 538 screened were ineligible, so this applies to a narrow group
- Do not expect shorter ventilation or intensive care stay; neither moved
The statistics, in plain English
This trial reports a Bayesian analysis: a 95.1% probability of benefit means that, given the data and the prior used, there is roughly a one in twenty chance the true effect runs the other way. The 95% credible interval from -26.6 to 2.4 includes zero, so under a conventional frequentist reading this would be a negative trial — the two framings describe the same uncertainty differently. With 120 patients, secondary outcomes such as delirium and ventilator-free days are badly underpowered, so 'no difference' there means 'not detected', not 'not present'.
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