- Design
- Target trial emulation using two ICU databases
- Population
- 3810 adults with septic shock on norepinephrine ≥0.25 µg/kg/min
- Primary outcome
- 28-day mortality
- Effect
- 48.1% vs 53.0%; risk difference −5.0 points (−6.8 to −3.2); HR 0.82
Using two US critical care databases (MIMIC-IV and eICU), researchers emulated a target trial in 3810 adults with septic shock whose norepinephrine had reached 0.25 µg/kg/min before any vasopressin. They compared starting vasopressin within 3 hours of crossing that threshold with starting it at 3–6 hours, using a clone-censor-weight method.
Weighted 28-day mortality was 48.1% with ultra-early and 53.0% with early initiation (risk difference −5.0 points, 95% CI −6.8 to −3.2; HR 0.82). Ultra-early vasopressin was also associated with less renal replacement therapy (HR 0.68) and fewer treated arrhythmias, though not less acute kidney injury.
Guidelines already suggest adding vasopressin rather than escalating norepinephrine further, without fixing the timing. This analysis supports acting promptly once that dose is reached, but it is observational, and the data cover an era before some current practices.
- Once norepinephrine reaches about 0.25 µg/kg/min, consider adding vasopressin promptly rather than waiting.
- Plan for vasopressin before the threshold is reached, so the infusion is ready.
- Monitor for digital and mesenteric ischaemia once vasopressin is running.
- This association needs confirmation in a randomised trial.
Why it matters
Timing of the second vasopressor is a decision made every night, and is usually made late.
Don't overread it
This target trial emulation is observational; unmeasured differences between patients may explain part of the effect.
The statistics, in plain English
Target trial emulation uses routine records to mimic a randomised trial, but cannot remove confounding from factors not recorded. A 5-point absolute difference in mortality would be large if confirmed by randomisation.
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