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Pearl · 04 of 05

Frame primary prevention in absolute numbers, not relative risk

Present preventive drug benefits as absolute numbers over a stated time.

A 30% relative reduction sounds large and can mean a small absolute gain. For older patients weighing a daily tablet for prevention, the useful figure is how many events are avoided per hundred or thousand people over a set time, alongside the common side effects.

Giving both the absolute benefit and the time to benefit lets the patient match the decision to their own priorities, which in late life may weigh independence and tablet burden above cardiovascular events.

  • State benefit as events avoided per 100 people over a stated number of years.
  • Give the common side effects in the same units so the two can be compared.
  • Ask what the patient most wants to avoid before recommending a preventive drug.
  • Revisit the decision as health, frailty and life expectancy change.

Why it matters

Relative risk alone overstates the gain for an individual and undermines shared decisions.

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