- Design
- Nationwide population-based cohort, 1992 to 2018
- Population
- 856,380 Swedish primiparous women without previous VTE
- Primary outcome
- VTE within 90 days of delivery
- Effect
- Parent HR 2.03 (95% CI 1.60 to 2.56); highest hereditary score HR 3.66 (2.06 to 6.51)
A Swedish nationwide cohort followed 856,380 first-time mothers without previous venous thromboembolism for 90 days after delivery, linking each to relatives through the multi-generation register. 788 (0.09%) developed postpartum VTE.
An affected grandparent was associated with HR 1.41 (95% CI 1.21 to 1.64), a parent 2.03 (1.60 to 2.56), a full sibling 2.55 (1.53 to 4.26) and a half sibling 2.28 (1.08 to 4.80). A weighted hereditary score showed a clear gradient, reaching HR 3.66 (2.06 to 6.51) in the highest category after full adjustment. Obesity, pre-eclampsia, caesarean delivery, postpartum haemorrhage with transfusion and infection were independent predictors alongside.
This is observational and the absolute risk stays low, but it gives weight to taking a structured family history rather than a single yes-or-no question. The number and closeness of affected relatives matters, and that detail can tip a borderline woman into postnatal thromboprophylaxis under existing risk-scoring guidance.
- Ask about VTE in parents, siblings and grandparents at booking, not just 'any family history'
- Record how many relatives were affected and how closely related they are
- Combine family history with caesarean, pre-eclampsia, obesity and haemorrhage when scoring postnatal risk
- Revisit the score after delivery, since several risk factors arise during labour
Why it matters
A single family-history tick box understates risk for a woman with several affected first-degree relatives.
The statistics, in plain English
A hazard ratio of 2.03 for an affected parent means about twice the rate of postpartum VTE. Because the baseline risk is about 1 in 1,100, even a tripled risk remains small in absolute terms, which is why family history adds to other factors rather than deciding prophylaxis on its own.
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