- Design
- Systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies
- Population
- 39 cohorts: 536,399 CAYA cancer survivors and 1,810,572 cancer-free peers
- Primary outcome
- Incident cardiovascular disease
- Effect
- RR 1.99 (1.66–2.40); childhood cancer RR 2.48 (1.87–3.27); young adult RR 1.61 (1.37–1.88)
A meta-analysis in JAMA Pediatrics (28 September) pooled 39 cohort studies including 536,399 people who had cancer in childhood, adolescence or young adulthood and 1.8 million cancer-free peers.
Survivors had about twice the risk of cardiovascular disease overall (RR 1.99, 95% CI 1.66 to 2.40), an estimated 90 extra events per 1,000 survivors. The relative risk was higher for cancer in childhood (RR 2.48) than in young adulthood (RR 1.61). It narrowed with longer follow-up but remained raised beyond 20 years, and held in high-quality and population-based analyses.
For paediatricians and the GPs who inherit these patients, the message is that cardiovascular risk follows a childhood cancer into adult life. Survivorship care should include blood pressure, lipids, glucose and weight, and knowledge of which treatments — anthracyclines and chest radiation in particular — carry specific cardiac surveillance needs.
- Keep a treatment summary for every childhood cancer survivor, including anthracycline dose and radiation fields.
- Check blood pressure, lipids, glucose and weight regularly through survivorship.
- Follow survivorship guidance for echocardiographic surveillance after cardiotoxic treatment.
- Hand over cardiovascular risk explicitly at transition to adult care.
Why it matters
Risk persists for decades, well past the point when survivors leave paediatric follow-up.
The statistics, in plain English
A risk ratio of 1.99 means about double the rate. The 90 extra events per 1,000 is an absolute estimate over the studies' follow-up and depends on baseline risk. These are cohort data, so part of the excess may reflect factors other than the cancer treatment.
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