- Design
- Single-patient pharmacokinetic modelling with simulations
- Population
- One adult woman with severe caffeine intoxication in ICU
- Primary outcome
- Caffeine elimination kinetics and predicted duration of toxic exposure
- Effect
- Half-life 42.6 h early vs 11.2 h late; Vmax 27.2 mg/h, Km 17.7 mcg/mL
This short communication analysed serial serum caffeine concentrations in one woman admitted to intensive care with severe caffeine intoxication. The first level was 140.6 mcg/mL; it took 163 hours to fall to 1.7 mcg/mL.
Elimination was concentration-dependent: the apparent half-life was 42.6 hours early on and 11.2 hours later, fitting a Michaelis–Menten model with Vmax 27.2 mg/h and Km 17.7 mcg/mL. Simulations predicted that starting concentrations of 300, 200 and 100 mcg/mL would take 248, 154 and 55 hours to fall below 50 mcg/mL.
Caffeine tablets and energy-product overdoses are a growing cause of toxic presentations. The pharmacological point is that at high concentrations the enzyme is saturated, so clearance is fixed and slow — the toxic period is much longer than the textbook half-life of a few hours suggests. That affects decisions about how long to monitor and when extracorporeal removal is worth it.
- Expect prolonged toxicity in severe caffeine overdose; the usual 3–6-hour half-life does not apply at toxic levels.
- Measure serial caffeine levels where available and plan monitoring for days, not hours.
- Consider haemodialysis early in life-threatening caffeine toxicity, since natural clearance is slow.
- Monitor for arrhythmias, hypokalaemia and seizures throughout the prolonged exposure.
Why it matters
It corrects the intuition that caffeine clears quickly, which can lead to premature step-down of monitoring.
Don't overread it
The model is fitted to one patient; the predicted times are illustrative, not a validated nomogram.
The statistics, in plain English
Michaelis–Menten elimination means that above the Km (here about 18 mcg/mL) the body removes a roughly fixed amount per hour rather than a fixed fraction, so the higher the level, the disproportionately longer it takes to fall.
Read the rest in the app
You have read your two free briefings this month. The app carries all 27 specialties, every morning, free — and this finding is waiting in it.

Scan to keep reading on your phone. No account needed to start.
Tomorrow morning, before your first patient
One edition a day for clinical pharmacology, written by the desk, every claim tied to its paper. Six minutes.
Get the app — free