- Design
- Systematic review and random-effects meta-analysis with GRADE assessment, search to March 2026
- Population
- 739 participants aged 6 to 18 across 12 studies
- Primary outcome
- State anxiety immediately after a single bout of exercise
- Effect
- Pooled SMD -0.77 (95 per cent CI -1.37 to -0.16, P = 0.01) with I-squared 94.9 per cent; subgroup estimates -0.19 to -0.62 apart from an outlying -2.97 in adolescents
Twelve studies with 739 participants aged 6 to 18 were pooled to test whether one session of exercise reduces state anxiety immediately afterwards. It did: standardised mean difference -0.77 (95 per cent CI -1.37 to -0.16, P = 0.01), graded as moderate certainty.
The heterogeneity, though, was 94.9 per cent, which means the studies were measuring effects of wildly different sizes. That shows in the subgroups. Sensitivity-adjusted analyses produced effects of -0.19 for aerobic exercise, -0.25 for multimodal, -0.28 against passive controls and in non-stress-induced conditions, -0.30 for group-based interventions and -0.62 in high-autonomy settings - all small - alongside an estimate of -2.97 (-3.39 to -2.55) in adolescents aged 13 to 18, which is an implausibly large effect for a single exercise session and sits oddly against every other figure in the paper.
Read the small consistent estimates rather than the headline. A single session of group-based aerobic or mixed exercise, chosen rather than imposed, produces a small immediate reduction in anxiety in young people. That is worth knowing when a school or a parent asks, and it is a reasonable thing to suggest alongside treatment. It is not a treatment for an anxiety disorder, the effect is measured minutes to hours later with no follow-up, and the authors themselves label the subgroup findings exploratory.
- Suggest a single bout of chosen, group-based activity for acute anxiety, expecting a small effect.
- Do not present this as treatment for a diagnosed anxiety disorder; state anxiety was the outcome.
- Read the -0.19 to -0.62 subgroup estimates rather than the -0.77 headline or the -2.97 outlier.
- Autonomy mattered more than modality here - the child choosing the activity is part of the intervention.
- Note the absence of any follow-up; nothing is known about duration of effect.
The statistics, in plain English
An I-squared of 94.9 per cent means almost all the variation between studies is real difference rather than chance, which makes any single pooled figure close to meaningless as a summary. The adolescent subgroup estimate of -2.97 with a narrow interval is the kind of result that usually signals a small number of unusual studies rather than a genuine developmental effect, and it is inconsistent with every other subgroup in the same analysis. GRADE moderate certainty applies to the existence of an effect, not to its size.
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