Glycaemic control slows diabetic retinopathy, but whether the choice of agent matters beyond its glucose-lowering effect has been unclear. This meta-analysis reviewed 273 studies, including 16 covering 1,785,409 patients, comparing SGLT2 inhibitors against dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, sulfonylureas and other agents.
SGLT2 inhibitor therapy was associated with lower relative risk of retinopathy progression against all comparators pooled (relative risk 0.77, 95% CI 0.72-0.82) and against each subclass individually. Diabetic macular oedema progression showed a similar reduction (0.75, 0.69-0.82). Benefit scaled with baseline risk: in a cohort with 20% retinopathy, the absolute risk difference was around 4 percentage points. The comparative advantage was most pronounced against sulfonylureas, and least against GLP-1 receptor agonists.
The authors' conclusion is appropriately calibrated: in patients with established retinopathy or macular oedema, SGLT2 inhibitors may be preferred over DPP-4 inhibitors and sulfonylureas, while the choice between SGLT2 inhibitor and GLP-1 receptor agonist should rest on other comorbidities. For an ophthalmologist, the practical value is in the letter back to the diabetes team: for a patient with progressing retinopathy still on a sulfonylurea, there is now a reason to raise the agent choice specifically, rather than asking generically for better control.
- Retinopathy progression relative risk 0.77; macular oedema 0.75
- About 4 percentage points absolute benefit where baseline retinopathy is 20%
- Largest advantage over sulfonylureas; smallest over GLP-1 receptor agonists
- Worth naming in correspondence for a patient with progressing retinopathy on a sulfonylurea
The statistics, in plain English
With 1.8 million patients the confidence intervals are very tight, but size does not fix the central problem: these are observational comparisons, and patients prescribed SGLT2 inhibitors differ systematically from those given sulfonylureas in ways no adjustment fully captures. The dose-response with baseline risk and the consistency across every comparator subclass both argue for a real effect, but this is association, and a randomised trial with retinopathy as a primary endpoint does not exist.
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